In March 2022, just as the Russian invasion of Ukraine was kicking off, Jessica Wildfire wrote a powerful piece stating the reasons why Russia had won the war.
Our protagonist took the time to explain the reasons why this was case, as I have reproduced below:
This war already feels like it’s been going for years. In fact, it hasn’t even been two weeks yet. Putin knows this. He knows the world is strained and exhausted from the pandemic. He actually helped exacerbate and prolong it by facilitating the spread of anti-vaxxer propaganda.
Putin also knows the world is running short on vital supplies, largely because we’re depleting our resources.
Russia is a top exporter of:
Unfortunately, this is the kind of stuff the world can’t do without. Compare that to the top U.S. exports, like beverages, planes, and cars. You can’t make beverages without aluminum, bro. You can’t make plastic bottles without oil. You can’t drive cars or fly planes without it, either.
Disagreeing with her, I published a riposte to her post, citing the reasons why I thought that Putin was on a hiding to nothing.
Russia Isn’t Winning The War and It Isn’t Too Big To Fail
A riposte to a profoundly nonsensical article.
But I have to admit, with the benefit of hindsight, that I was wrong and she was right on the points which she made in her magisterial piece.
And I should try to explain why I have come to this view on Putin.
While it is true to state that Ukraine’s resolve was underestimated when the war began, it is also right in stating that no one fully understood what Vladmir Vladimirovich Putin was really about.
Eighteen months on, it is all starting to make perfect sense.