Russia Isn’t Winning The War and It Isn’t Too Big To Fail

Adebayo Adeniran
5 min readMar 8, 2022

A riposte to a profoundly nonsensical article.

Benjamin Behre via Unsplash

The reason for this article was a post written by one of the most successful authors in this space. In it, the writer states her reasons for the view that Russia has already won the war.

And for once, I was left staggered by the highly asinine points which were cobbled together to state the case about Russia’s success in Ukraine.

And I was much more staggered by the levels of gullibility (and stupidity) from those who read and agreed with everything that the author put forth in her write up.

Given the ubiquity of verifiable information that we have, no one should ever get away with writing such drivel, disguised as a serious piece, anywhere, and certainly not here.

And these are my reasons for disagreeing with Ms. Wildfire’s article.

Russia Isn’t too big to fail


Reason 1: Russia has failed a few times in recent history

In the immediate aftermath of the fall of the Berlin wall, it was eminently clear that the cold war apparatus with which Russia governed Europe had begun to fall apart.

This became much more pronounced when Gorbachev announced the decentralization of Soviet Russia which would give way to 15 new republics. Communist hardliners angered by this line of action orchestrated a coup, which subsequently failed and hastened the unravelling of Soviet Russia.

Boris Yeltsin emerged from the ruins of the failed coup to take charge of a fragmented Russia from which several new Republics had become independent. Anyone who has read any of my previous pieces would be more than familiar with the names of the new nation-states.

Yeltsin’s invasion of Chechnya in 1994 had the most deleterious effect on its economy as we would come to appreciate it 1998, when it could not afford to pay its debt to the IMF, thus leading to a massive default, which further impoverished millions of Russians.

Russia’s unravelling led to the creation of the class of oligarchs and Vladimir Putin.



Adebayo Adeniran

A lifelong bibliophile, who seeks to unleash his energy on as many subjects as possible