U Ming Lee Was Wrong: China Will Invade and Crush Taiwan Imminently

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The might of the biggest bully on the block. Image by Lian Rodriguez via Pexels

U-Ming Lee is a man for whom I have profound respect.

There are players on this platform whose articles are measured, thoughtful and dripping with insights and our protagonist is definitely one of them.

And it is no exaggeration to state that I actually do miss his absence from this space or is it the algorithm messing with my head?

But even the best of us do get it wrong from time to time.

So why have I written this?

China’s imminent invasion of Taiwan.

A little over a year ago, Mr. Lee wrote a brilliant piece on the subject matter of China invading Taiwan.

In it, the author made a highly persuasive case detailing the reasons why the People’s Republic of China will not undertake an invasion in 2022, 2023 or 2024 for that matter:

According to official figures, Taiwan has approximately 88,000 active-duty personnel. Compared to the People’s Liberation Army’s 2.3 million soldiers, this may not seem like much.

But the number of active-duty personnel underestimates the human resources that Taiwan has to commit to its defence. Taiwan has always had an extensive reservist programme, having recognised…